Tag: margin
Connect With Us
Demand Intelligence Among IDC’s Top 10 Retail Predictions
Just read a great article by Amanda Ferrante based on an interview of Leslie Hand, Research Director at IDC Retail Insights for Retail Touchpoints. The interview focused on providing new strategies to optimize the value of IT in 2010, as IDC Retail Insights unveiled its Top 10 Predictions for the retail industry. The IDC report explored several hot retail topics, including social commerce, mobility and how demand intelligence is driving inventory management.
In the interview for Retail TouchPoints Leslie expanded on the IDC predictions. The first set of points were around the impact of social networks and it sizeable impact in retail. Everyone is talking about social networks, and we all know it is like the iceberg that sank the Titanic. We see a small piece and there is a big chunk underwater! (bad analogy!) But no ones knows the true financial value of this. I guess the analysts counsel is to chase this bubble it and stay on top of it, so that when folks figure out how to monetize it, you are positioned well. Just hope that we are not standing there with a load of tulip bulbs!
The interview mentions Demand Intelligence as being critical. Leslie says that retailers with capabilities for sensing demand were able to fine tune assortments, reduce demand forecasts and adjust prices and promotional programs to maintain margin expectations given expected product sell-through issues. On the flip side, many retailers were left holding the bag, as they did NOT have the capabilities to adjust to the changes. As consumer spending shifts and demand fluctuations grow, Demand Intelligence is mandatory to run a a profitable business.
In Leslie’s words “Many of the retailers who were not able to adjust expectations soon enough, because of the timeliness of demand data or insufficient analytics, remedied the situation by investing in better forecasting and planning tools in 2009. Part of the success this past holiday season can be attributed to merchants sticking to the plan, with an understanding that the data and the analytics and planning tools that were used to develop the plan were smarter and more agile than human experience alone. We believe this was a tipping point for many retailers, who may not have been fully invested in demand intelligence before.”
The predictions also touch on the importance and trends of mobile applications, and connecting customer behavior and purchase data for more insight. However, to me, the second one sounds like lots of data, long implementations, ……
On that note, I would like to add that a key factor for applications to be successful in this economy is quick proof points and fast implementation. As competition heats up even more, retailers needs tools that can quickly demonstrate proof points and deliver value. Solution providers and software vendors need the capability to quickly implement their solutions, without lengthy and costly implementation cycles. This is even more important for the small and medium retailers. I guess the bigger guys would say … why leave me out! :))
[J86ZEDNBT7UH]
Comments Off
Increase Sales With Analytics on Sales Receipts
Increase Sales with Purposeful Analytics On Sales Receipts
The sales receipt is a neatly itemized list of purchases. Every purchase comes with a specific need, and hence the sales receipt is the true voice of the customer. As demand patterns change, the sales receipt data can reveal tremendous intelligence on what customers are buying, the changing trends and what the future purchases will be. “Stores Face New Kind of Shopper” is a very interesting article by Ann Zimmerman and Rachel Dodes in The Wall Street Journal (Monday, December 28th 2009).
The financial crisis has dramatically impacted sales in all markets. Over the last two years sales have plummeted, consumers have disappeared and profits have evaporated. The financial crisis has caught us in a time of tremendous over capacity. In the B2B markets, companies have been dramatically shrinking capacity to match the new level of demand. In B2C markets, retail experts generally believe that the US now has more stores than consumer demand can support.
Customer buying patterns are dramatically changing as capacity adjusts to the new level of demand. The financial downturn further impacts this change, as customers look for new ways to stretch their money. To complicate things further, customers today have many choices of products, channels and price point. The internet has become a primary source for browsing and comparison shopping. This extends the reach of the customers, and puts pressure on companies to cater to wider product choice selection. As these shifts continue to change buying behavior, companies must have the capabilities to stay ahead of the changes. With the speed of change in products, companies need to adapt fast and stay in tune with changing demand.
The good news is that the sales receipts reveal these changing trends and buying patterns. However, this requires purposeful analytics designed to convert sales data into actionable tasks. I would also like to mention that sales data has a unique structure and characteristics. The purpose of the analytics is to reverse engineer the sales data to determine what is selling. If your product has a lot of feature choices, you can get insight into the popular choice combinations. If you sell lots of individual items (i.e. large number of SKU’s), you can get insight into what are items that are commonly grouped together. Emcien offers analytics designed for sales data. Emcien’s advanced analytics cal also give you intelligence into what choices cause the selection of other choices. Armed with this insight, you can manage your product offering to always stay ahead of the trends.
With purposeful analytics designed for sales data, you can get insight into -
- What product choice combinations are popular?
- How do the choice combinations vary by channel?
- What choice combinations are profitable?
- What are the changing trends and what choices will sell in the future?
As the market shift continues, this level of demand intelligence is mandatory to stay profitable!
Self-Service simplifies Product Offerings and increases Margins
Self service is a term we all know, such as pay-at-the-pump gas and self-checkout stations at some grocery stores, and now more obscure things like video game kiosks by GameFly, but the true tidal wave of self-service hasn’t even started, and it’s going to be good for both the consumer and the manufacturer, if done right.
Self Service Grocery Scanner
When you checkout your soda and cereal by swiping products across a scanner at the auto-checkout stations, there isn’t much complexity other than when you get a problem with the scanner reading a smudged bar code or trying to locate the button for ‘snap beans’ when you put those on the scale. The transaction is smooth, quick and you are in control, which is a good feeling as a buyer, you are not being sold, you are buying just what you want, quickly and easily.
But what happens if you try to buy a “configurable product“? In the grocery store, the only thing configurable is the weight of produce, but other than that, the costs and configurations are set in stone and are detected by reading the bar codes. Easy to understand as the buyer and relatively easy to deal with as the seller. Configurable products are those where you have to make many choices before you can order the one product. Products like computers, cars and thousands of others where the buyer has to describe their preferences or choices so the product can be created and delivered. It’s even more complex in a B2B environment than it is in B2C, where the products available and choices are astronomical. Products like Lighting, Valves, Agriculture and Construction Equipment, Lifts, Electrical equipment, cooking equipment and conveyors have more choices and variants than you can imagine and that variety makes it hard to order, build and deliver efficiently.
Usually a large direct sales force is sent out with complex price books (sometimes online in PDF form) to sit with customers and prospects and help them combine choices in hopefully valid ways. The choices a customer have to make are quite extensive, ranging from tens to hundreds of choices. Most of these choices the customer doesn’t care about, but they are required by the manufacturer just so they can build a valid product. Customers care about the few things that matter to them but after that, they will just choose things that “seem to make sense” just to complete the order. Sometimes they don’t even do that, they get so frustrated with 60 more questions about features and options on the product (many of which they don’t understand) that they walk away.
In some cases companies believe that putting in a configurator is the solution to their problem. Configurator’s automate the order process by ensuring that the order is VALID. The engineering and marketing rules that drive what can be built and offered are setup in a configurator such that the user ordering the product is led through valid questions and end up with a build-able product. Now this product may be build-able but it also may be a one-off low-margin brand new SKU that manufacturing hasn’t built before and requires some parts they aren’t carrying at this time. All this for something that was only 2 choices from a very popular configuration. And those 2 differences only happened because the customer was asked 20 more questions after they entered the 5 things they cared about. They chose as best they could, but without any guidance or suggestions, ended up on a new SKU which will ultimately explode into huge numbers of parts and processes to support the new SKU.
Now if the customer only had to enter the 5 things they cared about and the system recommended the combination of other choices such that the customer’s price limit was met and the configuration wasn’t a new SKU and the SKU had a good margin, then it would have been a win-win for everyone. And the whole process could be complete quickly and easily. The customer wouldn’t have to answer any other questions and would feel that same feeling that you do when you swipe your can of soup across the scanner at the market. The manufacturer wins as well because the customer was guided toward an existing configuration so the cost of creating and supporting a new SKU was avoided. It’s happening now with recommendation engines that leverage buying patterns to suggest full configurations based on the few attributes a customer gives it. Just like Amazon can recommend other books you might want to read based on the current “fly fishing” book you are looking at now, suggestion engines can be utilized to provide this convenience for much more complex products.
That’s the self-service tidal wave that’s coming, when all products, not matter how complicated can be ordered by simply asking for the attributes that YOU care about, what your price limit is and then Voila! it’s done. Customers will order more from companies that offer this convenience. Just think about how often you walk into the gas station to pay as opposed to pay at the pump. And if you had two stations to fill up at, one was pay at the pump and the other required you stand in line after pumping the gas, which do you think you would most often go to? Simplification is good for everyone, and profitable too.
Comments Off
How I want to buy a car
Every five or so years, I shop for a new car. I hate car shopping. The haggling, the long trips to dealerships way outside of town, the hours and hours of waiting, punctuated by furtive whispers to my husband, “Don’t give in! Stick to our budget! But don’t tell them our budget!” and similar. But that’s toward the end of the process. There’s a lot of work leading up to it.
First I hit the Consumer Reports site to research cars. A subscription is just $5.95 a month, but it auto-renews so you have to remember to unsubscribe or it quietly chips away at your wallet forever.
I find the five safest vehicles according to my car type and year. When I say new car, I just mean it’s new to me. I like to benefit from someone else’s new-car depreciation, which is something like 25% the minute you drive off the lot.
Anyway, I get on several different car sites like CarsDirect.com and AutoTrader.com to look for my next set of wheels. First I have to pick make and model, then enter my ZIP Code, then there’s a long list of cars. If I want to, I can see the list from lowest price to highest. The trouble is, I want to compare five different models and several different years. I’ve got to select the same filters over and over for all five and then compare the info. continue reading »
Comments Off
Q&A with John Sloan, former director, Jeep Brand Global Product Marketing
In today’s post, John Sloan talks about challenges dealers face in ordering inventory that best matches customer demand.
Emcien: Describe the Chrysler-Emcien initiative that examined dealers’ struggles with complexity in the ordering process.
JS: In a soft “push” market where volume is driven by heavy incentives versus the merits of the brand / model, managing cost is paramount. A key piece to focus on is product inventory. Dealers get roughly 60 days of no-interest floor plan. In a soft market, vehicles can easily sit for longer than two months before being sold, so it’s critical that vehicles be easy to order, stock and sell. Simple is better.
Emcien worked on a model to simplify the Chrysler PT Cruiser product mix. There were thousands of possible build configurations for the PT Cruiser, creating significant complexity for engineering and the assembly plant, as well as the supplier extended enterprise. Emcien’s ability to accurately forecast demand is invaluable for a complicated product line because it can assist with reducing the build configurations to those that best match demand. The PT Cruiser initiative validated the power of the Emcien inventory model.
Variation is valuable
Advances in interconnection technologies are driving an increasingly demand-driven market. Customers are learning to expect to get what they want, when they want it, how they want it. And they tell you in each and every interaction they have with your company, or not. In a demand-driven world, increasing product variation and complexity in your business model is inevitable. Left untended, your business can become a tangled web of counterproductive business strategies with a dense portfolio of product families comprising thousands, even millions, of variants.
However, make no mistake, variation is valuable. To deny complexity or view the long tail of product variation as a management failure is to deny diversity of the world in which we make our living. Eliminate complexity in your product offer and you will find yourself competing with boatloads of product from China, India or any of a number of low-wage production markets.
The “keep it simple” principle is the root of good management. However, as Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr. has observed, “I would not give a fig for the simplicity this side of complexity, but I would give my life for the simplicity on the other side of complexity,” it matters which form of simplicity you choose. The wrong simple answer is to try to focus on the 20% of product variants that make up 80% of your revenue, the head of the ubiquitous Pareto distribution, and find ways to minimize or eliminate the so-called unprofitable remaining 80% of product variants that lurk in the tail. Hello commodity, goodbye margins. The right simple answer is to deliver Intelligent Variation based on the voice of the customer shouting through the many interactions they have with you each and every day.
Comments Off
The typical tail graph
In a previous post, I discussed two types of sales history: raw and collapsed. The collapsed sales history can be displayed in a table or spreadsheet, with a special column for volume. If this table is sorted on decreasing volume, then the most popular configurations (popcons) will be at the top. The graph with the volumes displayed in decreasing order (popcons on the left) is called the tail graph
We have drawn tail graphs for cars, computers, washing machines, lighting fixtures, trucks and tractors, and they all look basically the same. The first tail graph shown below is small but typical. It represents 2,884 tractors, with 1,997 unique configurations, or build combinations. On average, there are 1.44 units per unique configuration. The most popular configuration was ordered 23 times. The graph quickly drops to two of a kind and finally one of a kind (our technical terms are “twosies” and “onesies”). Combined, the onesies and twosies account for 2,000 tractors, or 69% of total volume. Rather high, though this number is usually at least 40%.
Comments Off
Help the sales team help the customer
This morning I was talking to the VP of business process improvement for a company that sells industrial machinery. Their products are highly configurable. She told me that every year they have 50% new configurations they have never seen before. The number of choices on their products has grown over time. ”A salesperson can’t know everything about the product,” she said. “Customers want a few choices, and before you know it, the quote has crept into a configuration that’s bad for the customer and bad for us. “
As the VP explained, the biggest opportunity for complexity management is at the point of taking an order. A customer wants to be guided to complete their order. This concept is called Demand Shaping. There are myriad ways a configurable product can be ordered. However, each customer cares only about a few features that are of high importance to him or her.
Understand product choices to manage complexity
A product is a collection of features, and each feature has alternative options. Understanding features helps determine strategies such as late staging. Some features are tangible, material things about the product: which engine, how much memory, Bluetooth. Other features are abstract or soft, like geographic region or sales channel. Among tangible features, distinctions can be made on the basis of the degree of postponement possible.
Pin-on features can be added to the product at the last minute, after a specific order is received. The classic example is the power cord for a printer. Hewlett-Packard avoided having different printers for different countries by attaching different power cords to a common printer.
Reconfigurable features can be changed after a real customer order is received. There are literally hundreds of different kinds of tractor tires, depending on the work a tractor will be used for. A tractor has to be built with some kind of tire just so it can be driven off the assembly line, and it’s easy to change the tires to suit the customer.
Line features, by contrast, are so basic to the product that they can’t be changed, such as the chassis or transmission for a vehicle or the motherboard for a computer.
Abstract or soft features are really attributes of the order rather than of the product itself. But they may be very valuable in understanding customer demand. The pattern of choices for tangible features may vary considerably by geographic region, which is a soft feature. For example, engine block heaters are popular in North Dakota and convertibles are popular in Florida, but convertibles with engine block heaters are almost non-existent.
Comments Off
Extending the product configuration to gain insight
One of the most important components in choice complexity is the product configuration itself, the mixture of product options that give a product its unique signature. Obviously the typical product orderable options are needed to analyze the complexity of a product, but other more abstract options can offer surprising insights into product and customer behaviors.
A typical car configuration has options such as sedan, V6 engine, automatic, blue, cloth, AM/FM/CD, sunroof. But more abstract items can be recorded along with these to offer more insight. Sales type can be recorded to analyze what types of product configurations sell better in promotional sales events as opposed to normal sales transactions. An attribute to record an extended factory warranty option may provide new ideas for packaging options together with additional warranty services that customers are moving towards.
Comments Off